The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

980: The Truth About Day 3 NFL Draft Selections

13 snips
Mar 25, 2025
Exploring the often-overlooked realm of Day 3 NFL draft selections, the discussion highlights the challenging success rates of these sleepers. With a focus on running backs and wide receivers, caution is urged when eyeing late-round picks for your fantasy team. Are those last-minute draft choices truly diamonds in the rough, or simply risky ventures? Tune in to uncover intriguing stats and insights that could impact your fantasy strategies!
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INSIGHT

Day 3 Draft Pick Performance

  • Day 3 NFL Draft picks (after pick 100) underperform in fantasy football, especially at WR.
  • RBs offer slightly better odds of success than WRs drafted on Day 3.
INSIGHT

Rookie Draft ADP and Day 3 RBs

  • Rookie draft ADP doesn't correlate with performance for Day 3 running backs.
  • Don't reach for Day 3 RBs in rookie drafts, as their hit rate remains similar across rounds 2-4.
INSIGHT

Day 3 WR Performance

  • Wide receivers drafted on Day 3 have an extremely low success rate in fantasy football.
  • Even with seemingly promising Day 3 WRs, predicting their success is challenging.
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