Shane Parrish, founder of Farnam Street and host of 'The Knowledge Project' podcast, discusses decision-making lessons from Buffett, Munger, and Kahneman. They also talk about creating rules for disciplined investing and writing an investment thesis. Tickers discussed: BRK.A, BRK.B
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Quick takeaways
Creating a strong financial position allows for advantageous decision-making regardless of market conditions.
Recognizing and overcoming default decision-making patterns can lead to more critical thinking and better decisions.
Deep dives
Positioning for Success
The podcast discusses the importance of positioning oneself in a favorable position to make successful decisions. Examples like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger are used to highlight the advantage of being in a position of strength, where various scenarios work in their favor. By having a strong balance sheet, they are well-prepared for any market conditions, whether the market goes up, stays the same, or tanks. The lesson here is to create an advantageous position for oneself to win, regardless of the circumstances.
Avoiding Decision-Making Defaults
The podcast explores how our decision-making can fall victim to defaults, such as emotional, ego, social, and inertia defaults. These defaults often lead us to make decisions based on our emotions, trying to prove ourselves right, blindly following others, or sticking to the same old routine. The podcast emphasizes the need to recognize and overcome these defaults to think more critically and make better decisions. It suggests that creating automatic rules and safeguards can help circumvent these defaults and guide us towards desired behaviors.
Intuition, Risk, and Decision-Making
The podcast delves into the role of intuition and risk in decision-making, particularly in investing. While intuition can be valuable, it is advised to check and delay intuitive responses by engaging the conscious brain. Writing down investment theses, variables that matter, and reasons behind decisions can help calibrate intuition over time. Additionally, the podcast highlights the importance of patience, preparation, and showing your work to ensure a good decision-making process. It suggests creating rules and artificial environments to guide behavior and reduce the influence of emotions or external factors.
When you have about $150 billion in cash on hand, you’re never out of position for making a decision. Shane Parrish is the founder of Farnam Street, the host of “The Knowledge Project” podcast, and the author of “Clear Thinking: Turning Ordinary Moments Into Extraordinary Results.” Mary Long caught up with Parrish to discuss: - Decision making lessons from Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and Daniel Kahneman. - How to create rules to become a more disciplined investor. - Tips for writing an investment thesis. Tickers discussed: BRK.A, BRK.B Host: Mary Long