This podcast explores the resilience of the U.S. economy during the height of the trade war in April. Despite pronounced tariff shocks, high-frequency data shows persistent economic strength alongside unusually soft inflation readings, raising questions about possible political manipulation. The discussion dives into a KISS portfolio strategy favoring stocks, gold, and Bitcoin, and considers both the quantitative signals and market regime shifts driving a risk-on environment. Additional insights address potential risks, the role of fiscal stimulus, and whether gold’s recent correction offers a buying opportunity amid rising term premiums.
The Macro Minute with Darius Dale