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Establish The Run Fantasy Football
How to Beat NBA Props and DFS with Drew Dinkmeyer (Episode 794)
Oct 18, 2024
Drew Dinkmeyer, an expert in NBA DFS and prop betting known for his high ROI, joins Adam Levitan to share strategies for the upcoming NBA season. They dive into the complexities of NBA props, emphasizing the importance of human expertise over automation. The duo discusses critical factors like player matchups and injury risks that influence betting decisions. Dinkmeyer also highlights the need for timely updates and variance adjustments in DFS lineups. Listeners gain valuable insights on mastering both props and daily fantasy sports.
47:04
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Quick takeaways
- Successful NBA prop betting requires understanding contextual factors like player availability and game situations beyond just statistics.
- Accurate player projections in the NBA demand a combination of automated models and human judgment to adapt to changing dynamics.
Deep dives
Effective Player Prop Betting Requires Contextual Adjustments
Successful betting on player props in the NBA heavily relies on understanding the context behind recent performances. Many bettors fail to consider crucial factors such as player availability, specific opponent characteristics, and game situations when evaluating prop lines based solely on prior game statistics. This lack of context leads to poor decision-making, as outcomes in the NBA can be significantly impacted by factors like foul trouble or recent trend changes in player efficiency. Proper analysis requires not just examining numbers, but also adapting to the ever-changing dynamics of player roles and matchups.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode