In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 162: Lavrov's (Living) Obituary

Sep 1, 2024

Sergei Lavrov, Russia's Foreign Minister, reflects on his extensive career shaping modern foreign policy. He discusses the evolving challenges he faces amid a shrinking role and the Kremlin's manipulation of his image. The conversation dives into the shifting power dynamics between technocrats and autocrats, exploring the personal and political implications of Lavrov's legacy. Additionally, the moral decline of Russian diplomacy and the credibility crisis stemming from conflicting public statements are examined, highlighting the complexity of international relations today.

47:49

Episode guests

Sergei Lavrov

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Episode notes

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Quick takeaways

Recent polling indicates a rising nationalistic sentiment among Russians, reflecting a shift towards military support and a decline in favor of peace talks.

Lavrov's diminishing influence in foreign policy highlights the Kremlin's consolidation of power and the challenges of seasoned diplomats in an authoritarian regime.

Deep dives

Public Sentiment on Military Action

Recent polls from the Levada Center indicate a shift in public opinion among Russians regarding military action, with support rising from 34% to 41% within one month. Conversely, the percentage of individuals favoring peace talks has dropped from 58% to 50%. This trend suggests an increase in nationalistic sentiments amidst ongoing conflicts, demonstrating a 'rally around the flag' mentality rather than a decline in support for President Putin. These insights reflect the complexities within Russian society, particularly in how public perception can transform during wartime.

Intro

5min

Sergei Lavrov: Legacy and Obsolescence

21min

Navigating Diplomatic Contradictions and Credibility Crisis

8min

Technocrats vs Autocrats in Russia

10min

The Decline of Russian Diplomacy: A Reflection on Lavrov's Tenure

3min

Empty rumours of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's death on the internet yesterday, got me thinking about his shrinking role, and the twilight of Russia's technocrats. Besides, he is already politically dead, so it’s in a way not too early to deliver his obituary and use that to consider some of the dilemmas and characteristics of senior figures who are technocrats, not Putin cronies.

The Pushkin House even I mentioned is here.

The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.

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