Inside Active by Bloomberg Intelligence

Horizon’s Davolos on True Inflation Beneficiaries

Sep 2, 2026
James Davolos, portfolio manager of the Horizon Kinetics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF, specializes in long-term analysis of real assets and capital-light businesses. He discusses why business models can matter more than asset classes, the appeal of royalties and exchanges, valuation of scarce assets, mispriced lumpy cash flows, and how inflation-focused equities may complement traditional portfolios.
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INSIGHT

Royalties Pair Inflation Exposure With Capital-Light Economics

  • Capital-light businesses retain resilience because they avoid much of the operating and capital spending burden.
  • Royalties earn volume-times-price revenue from mines or land without paying OPEX or CAPEX.
ADVICE

Do Not Make Commodity Prices Your Core Return Thesis

  • Underwrite businesses so their base returns do not depend on rising commodity prices.
  • Treat favorable movements in the underlying asset as additive upside rather than the core thesis.
INSIGHT

Why Past Inflation Cycles Are Poor Investment Analogies

  • Historical asset-class analogies can mislead after artificially low rates and the prior commodity supercycle.
  • Starting valuation, asset-price drivers, and reinvestment capacity matter more than backward-looking allocation templates.
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