10-Minute Contrarian Ep237: The Big Macro Episode 2026
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Jan 3, 2026 2026 is set to be a pivotal year for investors, as the host dissects key macroeconomic trends. Anticipated movements in the S&P 500 and the dollar take center stage. The influence of U.S. politics, particularly Trump’s impact on global markets, reveals strategic motives behind actions in Venezuela. Midterm elections present risks, alongside inflation concerns. Predictions suggest efforts to bolster the economy before these elections. Emphasizing a proactive approach, listeners are encouraged to embrace contrarian strategies for the long term.
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US Policy Drives Global Macro
- The United States, led by Donald Trump, is steering global macro outcomes more than other countries.
- Focusing on who controls the macro narrative simplifies investment decisions by highlighting the largest plays.
Venezuela Action As Strategic Move
- VP reports the U.S. invaded Venezuela and claims Maduro was kidnapped to remove a bad actor in the hemisphere.
- He frames the move as part of a larger U.S. strategy to lock the Western Hemisphere into its sphere of influence.
Hemisphere Control As Long-Term Strategy
- The larger play is to lock the Western Hemisphere into the American sphere and exclude China.
- Controlling regional resources and defense ease long-term strategic positioning against rivals.