Mark Urban, a seasoned writer and columnist for The Sunday Times, dives into the recent resurgence of the Syrian civil war. He discusses an extraordinary offensive by a coalition of rebel fighters that has captured Aleppo, exploring the shifting dynamics between Assad's regime and the opposition. Urban explains the implications of this conflict, the roles of Iran, Russia, and Turkey, and the ongoing struggles faced by civilians. With deep insights, he sheds light on the complexities of alliances and the lingering instability in the region.
The recent offensive by rebel forces against Assad's regime has unexpectedly regained control over Aleppo, challenging the stability of the government.
The ongoing conflict in Syria is complicated by foreign involvement, particularly from Turkey, Iran, and Russia, each pursuing their own interests.
Deep dives
The Revival of the Syrian Conflict
The recent escalation in Syria has reignited the civil war, primarily driven by a coalitional offensive from a mix of jihadist and secular rebel forces against President Assad's regime. This surprising advance saw rebels recapture Aleppo, a strategic city previously lost to the government in 2016. The swift territorial gains have posed the most significant challenge to Assad’s authority in recent years, reversing the trends of a largely frozen conflict. As the Syrian regime vows to respond, the situation has escalated further, with intensified airstrikes from both Russia and Assad's forces aimed at quelling the insurgency.
The Role of External Players
The shifting dynamics of the conflict highlight the involvement of various foreign actors, each with their agendas. Turkey has been particularly influential, seeking to bolster its position by creating a more substantial rebel-controlled zone in northern Syria while simultaneously addressing the Kurdish issue. Meanwhile, Iran and Russia have maintained essential support for Assad’s regime, though their capacities seem strained due to their engagements in other regions, such as Ukraine. This complex geopolitical chessboard complicates all efforts to stabilize Syria, making predictions about the future of the conflict highly uncertain.
The Fragile Landscape of Sectarian Tensions
The current situation in Syria accentuates the fragile nature of sectarian tensions within the country, particularly given the historical context of the Assad family's Alawite rule over a predominantly Sunni population. As rebel groups, including those with ties to jihadist ideologies, gain ground, there are concerns about potential reprisals against Alawites and other minority groups. Furthermore, groups like Hayat Tahrir al-Sham are attempting to position themselves while dealing with their extremist past, complicating the response from Western nations wary of aligning with factions that could perpetrate violence. The prospect of renewed sectarian violence poses a significant humanitarian risk, with many advocating for a cautious approach to avoid exacerbating the already dire situation.
With wars raging in Israel and Lebanon, no one was watching neighbouring Syria. Until an alliance of rebel forces launched an astonishing offensive a week ago, sweeping the north and taking the prized city of Aleppo. But who are they, who backs them, and why now?
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Host: Manveen Rana.
Guest: Mark Urban, Writer and Columnist, The Sunday Times.
Clips: Channel 4 News, SkyNews, ABC News, The Telegraph.