Helene Braun and Markus Thielen discuss the potential Bitcoin price dip to $52K, factors behind the bearish sentiment, including macroeconomic influences and the absence of traditional price drivers. They analyze the impact of Bitcoin halving, inflation rates, and market trends on cryptocurrency valuation. Insights on Bitcoin as a hedge, tech stock selling, BlackRock ETF speculation, and altcoin trading trends are explored in the podcast.
Bitcoin price may fall due to reduced ETF inflows and inflation impact.
Halving event may not boost prices significantly, as macroeconomic factors play a key role.
Deep dives
Bitcoin Price Drivers: ETF Inflows
The recent bearish turn in the Bitcoin market can be attributed to the decline in ETF inflows, which have significantly reduced over the past four to five weeks, leading to a lack of substantial upside drivers. The evidence suggests higher inflation numbers impacting Bitcoin prices, with data releases in March and April correlating with sharp sell-offs in the cryptocurrency. Additionally, market internals show weakened funding rates and decreased investor interest, signifying a shift away from previous bullish trends.
Halving's Impact and Market Correction
Contrary to popular belief, the impending halving event may not have a significant bullish impact as historically anticipated. The halving is not seen as a major driver for Bitcoin's price movements, with expectations of a potential correction to the mid-50,000 range. The halving's effect on supply dynamics may be overshadowed by macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and interest rate policies, influencing market sentiment and investor behavior.
Bitcoin as a Hedge and Market Prospects
Bitcoin's perceived role as a hedge against inflation is questioned amidst market volatility and risk-off sentiment, as observed during recent geopolitical events. The cryptocurrency's behavior underlines the importance of distinguishing inflation from money printing and highlights the need for aligned market expectations. Decreased ETF flows and a shift towards a more conservative trading environment indicate a challenging period ahead, prompting cautious investment strategies and preparations for potential market consolidation.
The latest price moves and insights with Helene Braun and 10x Research co-founder Markus Thielen.
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On "Markets Daily," 10x Research co-founder Markus Thielen discusses his latest research report ahead of the bitcoin halving. Plus, he looks into his crystal ball and predicts how low the price of bitcoin (BTC) will fall.
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This episode was hosted by Helene Braun. “Markets Daily” is produced by executive producer Jared Schwartz and edited by Victor Chen, alongside Senior Booker, Melissa Montañez—all original music by Doc Blust and Colin Mealey.