Edward Snowden, Benedict Evans, and Balaji Srinivasan discuss the recent movements in the treasury bond market, the potential decline of the dollar, and the bullish sentiment surrounding gold. They also highlight the importance of being prepared for 2024 and diversifying into asset classes that would benefit from a weakening dollar.
Dale Pinkert anticipates declines in various markets, including TLT, and sees the potential for another wave that could take TLT up to 96 and possibly even 102.
Dale Pinkert suggests that the recent rally in the US dollar is a bear market rally and anticipates a potential rebound to around 105, potentially putting pressure on stocks and negatively impacting fang stocks.
Deep dives
TLT and Treasuries: A Potential Bear Market Rally
After a 10 point rally in TLT, Dale Pinkert suggests that the completion of the first wave may be approaching. He advises remaining patient and waiting for market levels to come to them, rather than chasing the market. He anticipates declines in various markets, including TLT, and sees the potential for another wave that could take TLT up to 96 and possibly even 102.
US Dollar: A Potential Bear Market Rally
Dale Pinkert believes that the recent rally in the US dollar is a bear market rally and anticipates a potential rebound to around 105. He suggests that if the dollar rally happens, it could potentially put pressure on stocks and negatively impact fang stocks. He also sees the possibility of a rally in the Euro, with potential buying opportunities around 108 to 107, and a potential long-term target of 120 to 130 for the Euro.
Commodity Currencies: Aussie Dollar Outlook
Dale Pinkert forecasts a potential breakout for the Aussie dollar from a falling wedge pattern. He suggests waiting for a pullback around 64.5 and sees a potential target of 69. He believes that commodity currencies, including the Australian and Canadian dollars, will perform well due to a weakening dollar trend and their exposure to commodities such as oil and minerals.
Gold and Silver: Potential Pullbacks and Buying Opportunities
While Dale Pinkert sees a bullish outlook for gold in the long term, he suggests the possibility of a pullback in the short term. He notes that gold sentiment is currently bullish, but advises waiting for a pullback before entering the market. He also mentions the potential for silver to pull back, particularly if there is a risk-off sentiment. However, he highlights that gold shares and miners have been performing well and may continue to do so, with opportunities for buying on pullbacks.
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Dale Pinkert, Trading Coach at TradeGatehub, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the intricacies of the recent market movement in bonds, the impact of the US dollar on the Euro, and examine the setup for gold & bitcoin. You can find more of Dale's incredible research and trade ideas here: https://www.forexanalytix.com
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