The podcast features guests including Mizuho Securities Chief US Economist, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, a Senior Fellow from Yale University, and a Senior Research Analyst. They discuss topics like resilient US jobless claims, bullishness in market performance, US-China relations, and the potential merger of Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Global. They also touch on rising shipping costs, the impact of new bank capital rules, and challenges in the media industry.
The US jobless claims report suggests that the market's recession expectations may not materialize in reality.
Media companies are exploring potential mergers as they navigate the challenges posed by cord-cutting and declining linear advertising.
Deep dives
Threats to everyday Americans due to new bank capital rules
The government's costly new bank capital rules have real consequences for everyday Americans. These rules will make loans more expensive and harder to obtain, impacting working families and small businesses. Congress needs to take action to stop Basel Endgame before it's too late.
Challenges in the media industry and potential merger talks
Media companies are facing challenges in the linear TV business due to cord-cutting and declining linear advertising. Talks of potential mergers, such as Warner Bros. and Paramount, are surfacing as companies try to navigate the streaming pivot. However, the viability of these deals remains uncertain, given the regulatory landscape and debt loads of the involved companies.
Impact of potential merger on sports rights and streaming landscape
The potential merger between Warner Bros. and Paramount raises questions about the ownership of sports rights and the streaming landscape. Acquiring sports rights, such as the NBA renewal, is a critical factor in determining the success of media companies. Digital players like Amazon pose a challenge to traditional media companies, as they continue to expand into the sports streaming market.
Paramount's challenges and potential for acquisition
Paramount is facing challenges in the linear TV business, which has implications for advertising and profitability. Talks of a potential sale of the Black Entertainment Television Network and a renewal deal with Charter add to the uncertainties. Paramount may need to consider partnerships or acquisitions to address these challenges and adapt to the evolving media landscape.
Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief US Economist, reacts to a resilient US jobless claims report and cautions that the recession the market is pricing-in doesn't happen. Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, says bullishness likely has a wider window to perform going into 2024. Susan Thornton, Paul Tsai China Center at Yale University Senior Fellow, expects a tumultuous year ahead for US-China relations. Robert Fishman, Moffettnathanson Sr. Research Analyst, discusses the potential merger of Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Global. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance