The Security Analysis Podcast

Citrini: Identifying Mega Trends

17 snips
Jan 10, 2024
Guest Citrini, a Twitter personality and blogger, talks about identifying mega trends with wide-reaching implications for markets and society. Topics discussed are 'miracle drugs' for weight loss and their impact, reducing Medicare on the federal budget, concerns about the future of junk food stocks, US physical primacy and stimulus spending impact on corporate profits, and exploring new stocks and portfolio strategies.
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ANECDOTE

Citrini's Investing Origin Story

  • Citrini started investing after selling his business at 27 and distrusting financial advisors.
  • He combined macroeconomic themes with fundamental analysis to create low-volatility returns.
ADVICE

Build Thematic Long-Short Baskets

  • Create a long-short basket isolating a mega trend from other market factors.
  • Include companies benefiting from the theme long and those hurt by it short for balanced exposure.
INSIGHT

Better To Enter After Tipping Point

  • True mega trends often reward the later entrants after the tipping point.
  • Being early can be costly before broad market recognition and repricing occur.
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