Guyana Update: Gas to Energy for Guyana, or Problem to Profit for Exxon?
Oct 9, 2023
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A critical analysis of Guyana's Gas to Energy project, questioning its necessity and highlighting potential risks. Issues with government's working assumption and lack of planning, resulting in an unreliable energy system. Discussion on the possibility of building petrochemical facilities in Guyana and challenges of oversupply in the single-use plastics market. Questioning the electricity needs in Guyana and doubting the necessity of a gas plant.
28:05
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Quick takeaways
The proposed gas to energy project in Guyana is unnecessary and financially unsustainable, with a solar plan being a more affordable and stable alternative.
The gas project in Guyana could burden the government's budget and provide limited benefits to the public, while benefiting Exxon through various profit channels, highlighting the need for a solar plan prioritizing local benefits.
Deep dives
Gas to Energy Project in Guyana: Unnecessary and Oversupplied
The gas to energy project proposed in Guyana is questionable and poses a risky bet. The current grid system in Guyana does not require a project of this size, leading to a significant oversupply. Regardless of the low or high case scenarios, the reserve margin would be considerably high, with estimates ranging from 58% to 196%. Furthermore, the historical overestimation of electricity usage by the utility company raises doubts about the project's necessity. The unreliable nature of the current system, with frequent power outages, does not instill confidence in the reliability of the proposed gas project. Instead, a solar plan is proposed as a more affordable, stable, and beneficial alternative for Guyana, providing direct benefits to the citizens and keeping the capital within the country.
Affordability Concerns and Financial Burden of the Gas Project
The gas project in Guyana may not be affordable for the taxpayer due to its financial implications. The plan involves providing a 50% subsidy for rates, which would be an annual disbursement from the Guyanese government to the utility company. This subsidy would be funded by future profit oil. However, the lack of rate information and transparency surrounding the project raises concerns. Additionally, the borrowing for the gas plant, which would rely on foreign labor, and the potential need for a debt bailout could further burden the government's budget. In contrast, a solar investment would involve hiring local people, stimulating the economy, and providing lower utility costs over time.
Exxon's Profits and Lack of Public Benefits
Exxon stands to profit significantly from the gas project in Guyana, while the public and taxpayers see limited benefits. With multiple forms of profit for Exxon, including lending, pipeline construction, potential gas sales, and relief from fines related to flaring excess gas, the project seems skewed towards benefiting the oil company. The lack of clarity regarding how oil profits will be used for climate adaptation and the absence of a clear estimate for the project's cost raise further concerns. In contrast, a solar plan would prioritize local benefits, such as job creation, economic activity, and lower electricity bills, directly benefiting the Guinean people and their economy.
A new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) looks at the details of Guyana's planned "Gas to Energy" project and finds mostly benefits for ExxonMobil and more debt for Guyana.
Read the full report here: https://ieefa.org/articles/guyana-gas-energy-project-unnecessary-and-financially-unsustainable