Why do you like Haier D shares, Dan Rupp of Parkway Capital?
Jun 28, 2024
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Dan Rupp, a first-time guest from Parkway Capital, dives deep into investment strategies in Asia, focusing on the unique potential the region offers amidst current market pessimism. He discusses the strategic importance of Hong Kong and the Philippines, highlighting their undervalued opportunities. Rupp contrasts active versus passive investing and unveils Haier's competitive strengths in the white goods market. His journey from corporate finance to launching a fund is an inspiring tale, filled with insights into maintaining a resilient portfolio in volatile conditions.
Investing in undervalued Asian markets, particularly Hong Kong, is viewed as a promising opportunity for contrarian investors willing to take calculated risks.
A robust portfolio construction strategy in Asia entails blending growth, defensive stocks, and value opportunities to navigate market fluctuations effectively.
Deep dives
Evaluating Investment Risks
Investing in companies at varying price-to-earnings ratios is discussed, particularly contrasting the risk of buying a well-loved American company like Costco at 50 times earnings versus a similar business in the Philippines at eight times earnings. The assertion is made that despite the popularity of Costco, the higher multiple indicates a greater investment risk. Cycles within market dynamics suggest there are optimal times to invest, especially during challenging periods. This perspective encourages investors to approach market fluctuations with the mindset of identifying favorable opportunities rather than succumbing to fear.
Market Cycles and Opportunities in Asia
The podcast emphasizes that Asian markets, particularly Hong Kong, are currently undervalued and present a compelling opportunity for investors who are willing to adopt a contrarian approach. This viewpoint stems from the observation that markets operate in cycles and that sectors facing difficulties will eventually rebound. The discussion highlights the importance of context, especially regarding geopolitical developments, suggesting that the increasing intertwined nature of Hong Kong and China does not necessarily indicate a decline for Hong Kong. The commentator expresses optimism, noting that the bustling city remains vibrant despite negative perceptions.
Earnings Growth as a Key Investment Metric
Earnings growth is identified as a critical factor for successful investment strategies in Asia, with a focus on companies with the potential for sustainable growth rates. The speaker notes that while the broader index might show stagnation and negative earnings trends, actively managed portfolios can achieve significant earnings growth through selective investments. A comparison is made between the broad market performance and targeted investments, illustrating that specific sectors, especially those tied to consumer recovery, show promising growth rates. The conversation underlines the necessity of recognizing and investing in companies positioned for earnings expansion.
Contrarian Strategies in Portfolio Construction
The formulation of a robust investment portfolio in Asia focuses on a blend of growth, defensive stocks, and value opportunities. The strategy involves identifying not just consumer products but also sectors currently overlooked in broader market assessments. It emphasizes holding a diversified range of companies across multiple geographic regions to mitigate risk and capitalize on differing market conditions. The approach encourages a long-term perspective, seeking investments with solid fundamentals while navigating the unpredictable nature of market dynamics.
It was great to welcome Dan Rupp of Parkway Capital (https://www.parkwayasia.com/) as a first-time guest on the podcast!
We have discussed the following: 00:00 Podcast Preview 01:30 Introducing Dan Rupp 01:51 Why invest in Asia now? 05:36 Defining „Asia“‘s geography 07:37 Why go active instead of passively investing Asia 13:17 Where are the best opportunities? 16:26 Holding period in a volatile market 21:04 Patterns that offer opportunities 24:37 Check out GI Plus 25:08 Portfolio construction in the Asian market 27:40 Things to avoid 30:25 Dan’s thoughts on portfolio size 33:15 Finding the best opportunities 35:40 Case study of Haier 44:27 Why start a fund? 50:20 Meaning behind „Parkway“ 51:29 Closing thoughts 52:25 Thank you 52:35 Disclaimer
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