Emma Ashford, a Cato Research Fellow, delves into President Trump's notable visit to Saudi Arabia and its implications for U.S.-Saudi relations. She discusses how Trump's grand announcements often lack follow-through, particularly regarding an ambitious Saudi arms deal and the concept of an Arab NATO. Ashford expresses skepticism about the effectiveness of these initiatives, drawing contrasts with previous administrations and highlighting the ongoing challenges in achieving meaningful international cooperation.
Trump's shift from criticizing U.S. defense commitments to embracing a favorable relationship with Saudi Arabia highlights strategic realignments in U.S. foreign policy.
The concept of an 'Arab NATO' faces skepticism due to historical failures in unifying Middle Eastern states despite ambitious proposals for collaboration.
Deep dives
Key Dynamics of Franco-Saudi Relations
The relationship between the United States, particularly under President Trump, and Saudi Arabia has evolved to reflect a mutual understanding of leveraging grand announcements without substantive follow-through. Trump's initial campaign rhetoric, which featured criticisms of the U.S. shouldering defense costs for its allies, has transformed since his inauguration into a more favorable stance towards Saudi Arabia. This shift demonstrates Trump’s alignment with the Saudi leadership, who are eager to capitalize on this opportunity to reinforce their significance in global politics. Both parties seem to share a strategy focused on grand gestures such as substantial arms deals, but like past agreements, the actual implementation and effectiveness remain questionable.
Challenges of Regional Alliances in the Middle East
The concept of establishing an 'Arab NATO' reflects the ongoing challenges in achieving unity among Middle Eastern states due to deep-seated political disagreements. Historical attempts to form cohesive military alliances, such as the Islamic coalition against terrorism and the Gulf Cooperation Council, have demonstrated limited success and organizational capabilities. These prior failures underline skepticism regarding the potential for a newly proposed Arab NATO to materialize into an effective collaborative force. The persistent inability of Middle Eastern nations to reconcile their differences raises doubts about whether any lofty proclamations in this regard will result in meaningful action.
What do Trump and the Saudis have in common? Can Americans who oppose intervention hope for much out of this international trip? Emma Ashford comments.