The podcast discusses the attempted military coup by the Wagner group in Russia, including updates on its resolution, speculation on military leadership, and the implications for the Ukraine war. It explores the role of Wagner mercenaries in the Russian military, their alleged incompetence, and the potential implications on Putin's regime and the war effort.
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Quick takeaways
The retreat of the Wagner group's armed uprising brings an end to the coup attempt, posing a humiliating and existential crisis for Putin with potential implications for the war in Ukraine.
The aftermath may lead to increased repression within Russia, as the weak response from Putin's regime raises concerns, while the loss of Wagner's effectiveness could damage the Russian war effort in Ukraine.
Deep dives
Retreat of the Russian coup attempt
The leader of the Wagner group, Progosion, announced the retreat of their armed uprising, effectively ending the coup attempt. There were indications of a deal between Belarus and Progosion, but no official confirmation from the Kremlin. The Russian military's reliance on mercenaries like Wagner in the Ukraine war played a role in the coup attempt. While the immediate danger to Putin's regime might have passed, it remains a humiliating and existential crisis for him, with potential implications for the war in Ukraine.
Uncertain implications and potential crackdown
The aftermath of the coup attempt may result in a crackdown on dissent within Russia. The weak response from Putin's regime raises concerns about increased repression. The situation remains volatile and dangerous, given the nuclear-armed status of Russia and the authoritarian nature of its leadership. The impact on the Ukrainian war is uncertain, with the loss of Wagner's effectiveness potentially damaging the Russian war effort. Overall, the evolving situation requires close monitoring and could have far-reaching consequences.