Terrance Woodbury, founder of HIT strategies, discusses black voter insights in the current election cycle, including the presence of a black Trump vote and the impact of third-party candidates. The conversation also addresses evolving priorities among black voters, the need for actionable solutions to address skepticism, and the significance of Kamala Harris in engaging black voters.
Black voters prioritize issues like cost of living and public safety over traditional economic indicators.
Potential third-party defections in upcoming elections pose challenges to the traditional two-party system.
Deep dives
Black Voter Misrepresentation in Polls
Public polls have reported varying percentages of black voters supporting Donald Trump, but data from Hit Strategies, based on conversations with 1200 black individuals, indicates a lower percentage at around 9 to 12% supporting Trump. The discrepancy is attributed to smaller sample sizes in public polls, leading to misleading results. Black voters prioritize issues concerning the cost of living, such as rising gas prices, education expenses, housing costs, and healthcare fees, over traditional economic indicators like job creation and stock market performance.
Public Safety Concerns Among Black Voters
Black voters prioritize public safety over simplistic views of crime rates, emphasizing the need for safe communities beyond crime statistics. They reject binary solutions of more or less police presence and focus on underlying issues like addiction, lack of affordable housing, and limited economic opportunities as critical factors contributing to crime. Black voters demand a compassionate approach to addressing public safety, highlighting the importance of feeling safe in their environments.
Political Dynamics and Third-Party Influence
The dynamics of the upcoming election highlight concerns about potential third-party defections, with disillusioned voters seeking alternatives due to perceived systemic failures. Young voters, in particular, view third-party options as a means to challenge the existing political establishment. The emergence of high-profile third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy and the potential impact of figures like Cornell West on reshaping political narratives pose challenges to the traditional two-party system and voter allegiances, prompting a need for strategic responses to engage disillusioned voters.
Bakari is joined by the creator of HIT strategies Terrance Woodbury. HIT strategies is a public analysis and data firm that partners with candidates and organizations that share the mission of empowering underrepresented communities . What are black voters telling us about the election and are the campaigns listening (02:15)? Bakari and Terrance also discuss if there’s a black Trump vote (07:33). Which third party candidate causes the most consternation (12:11)?