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The Broken Equity Structure and Gold's Rally: Michael Green on the Systemic Risk of Passive Investing

Oct 24, 2025
Michael Green, Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management and a vocal critic of passive investing, discusses the systemic risks it poses to market equity structures. He highlights how passive flows distort valuations, favoring large caps and exacerbating market bifurcation. Green argues that the current gold rally reflects a flight from systemic risk rather than mere inflation concerns. He also cautions about the dangers of leveraged ETFs, emphasizing the lack of accountability for financial excesses and the implications of geopolitical shifts on U.S. hegemony.
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INSIGHT

Passive Indexing Creates Momentum Bias

  • Passive indexing funnels new inflows into stocks by market-cap, mechanically reinforcing large-cap winners.
  • This creates momentum that widens valuation and liquidity gaps between big and small stocks.
INSIGHT

Small Orders, Big Impact On Mega Caps

  • A fixed inflow to an index buys far more of the largest stock than the smallest, magnifying price impact on large caps.
  • Repeated daily flows can annualize into most of a mega-cap's returns, explaining market bifurcation.
INSIGHT

Passive Ownership Is Larger Than Commonly Thought

  • Passive share of the market has grown explosively and likely exceeds 50% of market cap.
  • This concentration means most passive indices offer negligible exposure to niche sectors like gold miners.
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