The podcast dives into Georgia's recent political turmoil following a new presidential inauguration and the contentious exit of Salome Zurabichvili. It discusses Georgia Dream's electoral success and the ongoing political struggles, emphasizing the need for better relations with Russia and BRICS. The conversation shifts to Georgia's complex geopolitical situation, balancing aspirations for EU membership while navigating economic ties with Russia. Finally, it highlights a growing skepticism towards the EU among local businesses and public sentiment.
The ruling Georgia Dream party has consolidated power and gained public support by stabilizing the economy and improving living standards since 2011.
Georgia's strategic pivot towards Russia, as the largest trading partner, reflects disillusionment with EU integration amid disappointing economic outcomes.
Deep dives
Regime Stability in Georgia
Recent developments in Georgia highlight the successful consolidation of power by the ruling Georgia Dream party following the departure of former president Salome Zurabichvili. The government has effectively stabilized the economy and improved living standards since taking power in 2011, which has garnered broad public support. Despite attempts by external actors to instigate regime change, a significant majority of Georgians accepted the legitimacy of the recent elections, as evidenced by Georgia Dream securing 53% of the vote with monitoring from the OSCE attesting to the election's fairness. As a result, Georgia Dream has managed to maintain control over the military and police, laying the groundwork for continued governance despite ongoing external pressures.
The Ongoing Political Struggle
While Georgia Dream has won a critical battle against external interference, the broader political struggle for Georgia’s future continues unabated. The government remains aware of the potential for renewed protests or challenges, particularly during times of economic upheaval, which external interests may exploit. Furthermore, the situation is complicated by internal demands for alignment with the European Union, which has historically been viewed as a goal but has come into question given recent events and the EU's response to Georgia's political landscape. The assertion that Georgia should forge closer ties with Russia and BRICS reflects a strategic pivot, recognizing the challenges posed by remaining firmly aligned with the EU.
Economic Shifts and Trade Realignments
The economic relationship between Georgia and the EU has not yielded the anticipated benefits, leading to a gradual redirection of trade back to Russia, which is now emerging as Georgia's largest trading partner. The perceived failures of the EU's association agreement, coupled with disappointing economic outcomes, have prompted many Georgians to reassess their enthusiasm for EU integration. As trade with Russia increases, contributing to a rise in living standards, Georgia Dream is likely to continue fostering these connections despite the EU's previous aspirations for Georgian alignment. This economic shift underscores a significant transformation in Georgia's trade policy, reflecting a recalibration of its international relationships.
