TRIGGERnometry

Is Ukraine Winning? - Tom Cooper

Sep 19, 2022
Tom Cooper, an Austrian aerial warfare analyst and historian, discusses the complex dynamics of the Ukraine conflict. He reveals the miscalculations in Russia's military strategy, examining Putin's grip on power and the impact of internal dissent. The conversation delves into the contrasting successes and failures of both Ukrainian and Russian forces, highlighting how winter conditions affect military operations. Additionally, they touch on the evolving Sino-Russian military relations and the socio-economic motivations driving soldiers amidst the ongoing war.
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ANECDOTE

Initial Invasion Plan

  • Russia's initial invasion plan involved a swift decapitation strike against Ukraine's leadership.
  • They aimed to seize key airports around Kyiv, arrest the government, and install a pro-Putin regime.
INSIGHT

Putin's System of Misinformation

  • Putin's system, built on self-preservation and misinformation, fueled the invasion's initial failures.
  • The illusion of Ukrainian support for Russia led to tactical miscalculations and unpreparedness for Ukrainian resistance.
INSIGHT

Military Ineptitude

  • Putin appointed loyalists, not competent leaders, to key military positions, hindering effective decision-making.
  • This, coupled with an unreformed, unprofessional military force, contributed to Russia's struggles.
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