The Rest Is Politics 488. Is Iran on the Edge of Revolution?
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Jan 13, 2026 The podcast dives into the tumultuous protests in Iran, questioning whether they can overthrow the regime or if a brutal crackdown will ensue. It analyzes the economic struggles fueling discontent and the role of younger generations mobilizing through social media. The discussion extends to Yemen, highlighting escalating tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE amidst a dire humanitarian crisis. The hosts ponder the implications of potential U.S. military intervention and the shifting dynamics of regional powers.
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Economic Shock Sparked Nationwide Unrest
- Iran's protests began as economic grievances but rapidly broadened into widespread, multi-provincial unrest.
- Alastair Campbell and Rory Stewart suggest the regime's survival depends on prolonged momentum and possible defections within security forces.
Ideology Bolsters Regime Resilience
- Theocratic ideology gives Iran's leadership a resilient core of true believers that resists rapid collapse.
- Rory Stewart notes the Revolutionary Guard and Basij are ideologically committed, making splits in security forces the key vulnerability.
Walking Across Iran In 2000
- Rory Stewart recounts walking across Iran in 2000 and seeing stark urban–rural contrasts firsthand.
- He describes bazaars, Basij presence, and rural development that shaped political loyalties.
