Inside the Rope with David Clark cover image

Inside the Rope with David Clark

Ep 79: John Hempton - Where to from here?

Nov 9, 2020
John Hempton, the fund manager and founder of Bronte Capital, returns to discuss the lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic. He reflects on initial miscalculations and the unpredictable nature of human behavior in investment strategies. The conversation shifts to value investing's challenges, particularly in light of technological changes, and recent insights into tobacco investments, examining risks and potential opportunities. Hempton's candid views on market dynamics and the socio-economic factors influencing investments offer a fascinating perspective on navigating today's economy.
01:02:24

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Traditional mathematical models failed to account for human behavior during COVID-19, revealing the need for adaptive strategies in future health crises.
  • The pandemic led to unexpected economic dynamics, highlighting the significance of public policy and individual behavior in stock market resilience.

Deep dives

Understanding Pandemic Behavior

The analysis of human behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic reveals that traditional mathematical models used to predict the spread of disease failed to account for human responses. Unlike phages in bacteria or species like rabbits, humans adapt their actions based on perceived risks and benefits. This adaptation leads to variations in how individuals adjust their behavior regarding outings, social interactions, and work, significantly altering the pandemic's trajectory. The insights gained from this analysis emphasize the need for models that consider human behavior to more accurately predict and manage future health crises.

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