Economic experts Neil Dutta and Frances Donald discuss PCE data and inflation. Former Watergate prosecutor Nick Akerman talks legal implications for Trump. Harvard's Jason Furman shares insights on inflation and eco policy.
2% inflation target by the Fed is a directional goal; PCE deflator crucial for comprehensive expenditure analysis.
Deep dives
Neil Dutta's Views on Economic Outlook and Inflation
Neil Dutta shares his views on the American economic outlook, stating that the trade-offs for the Federal Reserve are becoming more challenging. He predicts that inflation is likely to decrease over the next few quarters. However, he suggests that if the Fed is hesitant to adjust policies in response to this declining inflation, it could impact the overall economic outlook, especially considering the moderation in wage growth observed recently.
Significance of 2% Inflation Target and PCE Deflator
Neil Dutta discusses the 2% inflation target set by the Federal Reserve, highlighting that it serves as a directional goal rather than an immediate target. He explains the importance of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator, which has a broad scope compared to other inflation measurements. The PCE deflator provides a comprehensive view of expenditure and reflects what people actually spend their money on.
Impact of Real Consumption Data on Economic Growth
Neil Dutta analyzes the data on real consumption, emphasizing its implications for economic growth. He notes a recent decline in consumer spending, attributing it to the moderation in wage growth. Dutta highlights the need for consumer spending to align with income growth and suggests that with wage growth decelerating, a slight slowdown in consumption is expected. This data indicates that economic growth remains aligned with income trends.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyMay 31st, 2024 Featuring:
Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Partner at Renaissance Macro Research, reacts to PCE data with JPMorgan's Bob Michele
Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Chief Economist, gives her take on PCE
Nick Akerman, former Watergate assistant special prosecutor, on legal ramifications for Trump and whether he will go to prison
Jason Furman, professor at Harvard University, on inflation and eco policy