

[REPLAY] Otavio Costa: Precious Metals Deep Dive (2023)
Aug 29, 2025
Otavio Costa, a portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, shares his insights on the precious metals sector. He discusses the rising demand for gold and silver, emphasizing the importance of CAPEX in the industry. Otavio contrasts gold's historical significance with contemporary economic challenges, urging investors to rethink asset allocations. He also delves into the inflation super cycle and its impact on mining costs, highlighting the importance of selecting quality management teams and exploring junior explorers in this evolving market.
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From Analyst To Precious Metals Fund Builder
- Otavio joined Crescat as an analyst, built macro and quant themes, then launched a precious metals fund.
- He partnered with geologist Quentin Hennie to move from mid/large cap to early-stage exploration investing.
Secular Underinvestment In Gold Supply
- Major miners have underinvested in gold reserves for years, causing secular supply decline.
- The shift to 'green' metals reduces gold-focused discovery and supports higher gold prices long-term.
Green Shift Drove Gold Supply Constraints
- Majors redirected capital to copper and battery metals, deprioritizing gold projects and production growth.
- That choice created constrained gold supply and an asymmetric opportunity in early-stage explorers.