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Flapping Airplanes and the promise of research-driven AI; plus, Upwind raises $250M at $1.5B valuation to continue building ‘runtime’ cloud security

Jan 29, 2026
A deep dive into a new AI lab aiming to train large models with far less data. Discussion of research-first versus compute-first approaches and why long-term bets matter. The rise of a runtime cloud security company to a $1.5B valuation and how it detects and remediates in real time. Tales of early doubt, slow sales, and a $250M funding milestone.
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INSIGHT

Research-First Over Compute-First

  • Flapping Airplanes pursues a research-first path that favors long-term breakthroughs over raw scale.
  • Sequoia's David Kahn frames this as expanding the search space rather than doubling down on compute-only bets.
INSIGHT

Temporal Spread Of Bets Matters

  • A compute-first approach prioritizes cluster scale and short-term wins while a research-first approach spreads bets over five to ten years.
  • Research-first accepts many long-shot projects to collectively increase the chance of major breakthroughs.
ANECDOTE

Founders' Exit Shaped Security Thesis

  • Upwind's founders previously built Spot.io and sold it to NetApp for about $450 million in 2020.
  • That operational experience shaped their belief they understood cloud environments better than many security incumbents.
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