The Foreign Desk
Trump’s doctrine: the sequel
Nov 16, 2024
Amy Mackinnon, a national security reporter for Foreign Policy, John Herbst, former US ambassador to Ukraine, and Aaron David Miller, a former Middle East negotiator, delve into the implications of a potential second Trump term. They discuss how Trump's simplistic foreign policy might shape global tensions, particularly in Ukraine and the Middle East. The conversation highlights the impact of controversial cabinet picks on U.S. relations with allies and the unique challenges he would face against the backdrop of evolving geopolitical conflicts.
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Quick takeaways
- Trump's second term may exhibit unpredictable foreign policy through strongman support and a transactional style towards authoritarian regimes.
- His administration faces challenges in balancing the need for peace in Ukraine with strong support against Russian aggression amidst internal doubts.
Deep dives
Trump's Foreign Policy Outlook
Trump's approach to foreign policy is expected to be characterized by unpredictability and a transactional style. He has consistently expressed a fear of nuclear conflict, which influences his cautious stance towards powers like Russia and China. This apprehension, coupled with a preference for strongman leaders, suggests he may favor dealing with authoritarian regimes that can act quickly without formal bureaucratic processes. Trump's style might also lead him to take a more aggressive stance on armament in Ukraine, promising significant support to deter Russian aggression despite concerns from within his circle.
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