The Daily Blast: Angry Trump Starts Blame Game as Polls Reveal Big New Problem for Him
Oct 31, 2024
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Joel Payne, a senior official at MoveOn, delves into the political turmoil surrounding Donald Trump's campaign as he faces mounting pressures in a tightly tied race. Trump’s anger towards GOP leaders and allegations of voter fraud raise questions about his ground game. Payne highlights the significance of engaging low-propensity voters and discusses the innovative strategies aimed at boosting turnout, particularly among Latino and African-American voters. The shifting dynamics favoring Kamala Harris add urgency to the elections, showcasing the critical nature of effective voter outreach.
Donald Trump is escalating his blame game in response to polling pressures, particularly targeting his RNC chair and alleged voter fraud in key states.
Kamala Harris's campaign is effectively engaging low-propensity voters through targeted strategies that focus on demographic coalition-building and community-based organizing.
Deep dives
Trump's Pressure and Ground Game Concerns
Donald Trump is reportedly feeling significant pressure regarding the upcoming presidential race, specifically targeting his ground game in key swing states. He has begun to lay blame on Republican National Committee Chair Michael Watley for issues he perceives with election integrity, particularly in Pennsylvania, where he alleges potential voter fraud. This concern points to a broader strategy of setting up a narrative for contesting results in case of a loss. As polls indicate that more engaged voters are tilting towards Kamala Harris, the effectiveness of Trump's ground operation becomes crucial to mobilizing low-propensity voters necessary for his success.
Harris's Ground Strategy and Innovative Techniques
Kamala Harris's campaign is effectively leveraging new strategies to engage low-propensity voters, especially those from diverse backgrounds. The focus has shifted to building coalitions by targeting specific demographics, such as young Hispanic voters and groups who may feel disenfranchised by Trump's rhetoric. Community-based organizing, including innovative techniques like relational organizing and behavioral science analysis, plays a key role in her approach. Such strategies aim to increase turnout among previously disengaged voters, ensuring that they understand the stakes of the election and are motivated to participate.
Gender Gap and Turnout Dynamics
The upcoming election is increasingly being viewed as a turnout battle, particularly with regards to the gender gap that could influence its outcome. Kamala Harris is expected to perform strongly among women voters, but her success will depend on surpassing Trump's male voter base, particularly in rural areas. Polls suggest a dynamic where her ability to mobilize female voters will significantly impact her chances against Trump's more male-dominated support. Thus, the strategies employed to engage women voters effectively must be prioritized leading up to election day to secure favorable turnout rates.
The presidential race is tied, and Donald Trump very well could win. But he is now scapegoating others for a possible loss: He’s reportedly angry with Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley, he’s raging about supposed voter fraud in Pennsylvania, and his allies are sounding new alarms about his ground game in key states. Meanwhile, new pollsshow engaged voters tilting to Kamala Harris, which means more pressure on Trump’s ground operation to turn out low-propensity voters. We talked to Joel Payne, a senior official at MoveOn, who explains what’s really happening with both sides’ ground games, why it could make the difference, and what could still go wrong for Democrats. Listen to this episode here.