Israel and Hezbollah have a heavy exchange of fire
Aug 26, 2024
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Amos Harel, a journalist at Haaretz, and Suzanne Maloney, vice president at the Brookings Institution, delve into the recent flare-up between Israel and Hezbollah, analyzing airstrikes and fragile ceasefire negotiations. Michael Kofman from the Carnegie Endowment explores Ukraine's military strategies and implications in the ongoing conflict with Russia. The conversation also touches on domestic political tensions within Israel and shifts in U.S. politics surrounding Kamala Harris as she prepares for the upcoming presidential race.
The podcast discusses Israel's preemptive military operation against Hezbollah, emphasizing the ongoing cycle of violence and escalating regional tensions.
Ukraine's bold incursion into Russia's Kursk region is portrayed as a strategic move to boost troop morale and exert pressure on Russian forces.
Deep dives
Escalating Tensions in the Middle East
Israel conducted a significant military operation targeting Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, successfully destroying a substantial number of missile launchers and munitions just before they could be deployed against Israeli targets. This preemptive strike was characterized as a crucial defense measure, amidst the rising tensions following the assassinations of key leaders from both Hamas and Hezbollah. In response, Hezbollah launched a barrage of rockets but claimed their operations for the day were concluded. The potential for further retaliation remains high, indicating that hostilities in the region could continue to escalate.
Ceasefire Talks and Political Challenges
Negotiators from Israel and Hamas convened in Cairo for ceasefire discussions, but skepticism looms regarding the likelihood of a successful agreement. Both Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar face internal and external pressures that may hinder progress towards a deal. While the Israeli public largely supports reaching a ceasefire, Netanyahu is constrained by political alliances that might retaliate against any concessions. Similarly, Sinwar's previous aggressive tactics suggest a reluctance to negotiate while maintaining the possibility of a larger regional conflict involving Hezbollah.
Ukraine's Strategic Offensive
Ukraine has launched a bold incursion into Russia's Kursk region, seizing approximately 490 square miles and establishing a presence aimed at creating a defensive buffer. Ukrainian forces are reinforcing their position and signaling intentions to hold territory for potential leverage in future negotiations with Russia. The operation, while risky, is perceived as a necessary action to raise morale among troops and distract Russian forces from other fronts. Recent intelligence suggests that while Ukraine may not have fully informed its U.S. allies about the incursion, some coordination exists regarding military operations.
U.S. Political Landscape and Foreign Policy
The Democratic National Convention showcased Kamala Harris as the presidential nominee, where she effectively repositioned herself as a candidate for change while facing critiques from her opponents. Her speech emphasized continued support for Israel amid the Gaza conflict, balancing reaffirmations of Israeli security with acknowledgment of Palestinian suffering. This approach resonated well with the crowd and broader public, distinguishing her from her predecessors while maintaining the Biden administration's foreign policy stance. Despite some challenges ahead, Harris' message appeared to strike a chord with undecided voters, highlighting her personal story and vision for the future.
Today on the program, after a significant escalation of tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, guest anchor Bianna Golodryga speaks with Amos Harel from the Israeli newspaper Haaretz and vice president of the foreign policy program at the Brookings Institution Suzanne Maloney about the fighting as well as the latest rounds of ceasefire and hostage negotiations in Cairo.
Then, Michael Kofman from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace joins Bianna to discuss Ukraine’s on-going incursion into Russia’s Kursk region and whether Kyiv’s offensive has shifted the dynamics of the wider war.
Next, the Financial Times’ Edward Luce speaks with Bianna about this week’s star-studded Democratic National Convention and how Harris appears to be positioning herself for the final months of the race.
Finally, Steve Coll, dean emeritus of the Columbia Journalism School, joined Fareed to discuss his new book “The Achilles Trap,” in which he digs through recordings of secret conversations between Saddam Hussein and his inner circle.
GUESTS: Amos Harel (@AmosHarel), Suzanne Maloney (@MaloneySuzanne), Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael), Edward Luce (@EdwardGLuce), Steve Coll