Swamp Notes Trump considers war in Iran
Jun 21, 2025
Edward Luce, U.S. national editor and columnist for the FT, dives into Donald Trump's precarious stance on military action in Iran amid rising tensions with Israel. He discusses the ideological rifts within the MAGA movement, revealing a clash between interventionists and non-interventionists. Luce also examines how Trump's decisions could shape his coalition's support, emphasizing the political pressure he faces from pro-war factions. The dynamic relationship between foreign policy and domestic politics becomes crucial as Trump navigates this controversial landscape.
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Trump's Iran Policy Shift
- Trump shifted from keeping the Iran nuclear deal to imposing 'maximum pressure' after Netanyahu's influence.
- His 2020 Soleimani assassination was the riskiest military act in his presidency, heightening tensions with Iran.
Trump's Dilemma on Military Action
- Trump faces contrasting advice: quick decisive strikes or the risk of prolonged conflict if Iran retaliates.
- He is leaning towards caution, wary of losing control of escalation.
Divisions Within MAGA on Iran
- The MAGA movement is divided: some influential figures urge restraint, others support hawkish action.
- The challenge is balancing America's First agenda with pro-Israel hawks on Capitol Hill.