
FT News Briefing US equities taking election polling to heart, US banks kick off earnings season, UK lockdowns
Oct 13, 2020
US stocks are rallying as optimism grows around the presidential election, particularly with a strong lead for Biden. Meanwhile, US banks prepare for earnings, considering how a Democratic wave could reshape their fortunes. Young workers in the UK face severe unemployment as the economy struggles. The podcast highlights shifting perceptions about banking leadership and consumer confidence, hinting at potential recovery amid pandemic challenges.
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Market Rally
- U.S. equity markets rallied in October after a September slump.
- This is partially attributed to increasing certainty about the U.S. election outcome.
Reflation Trade
- Banks might benefit from a Democratic win due to potential fiscal stimulus and higher interest rates.
- This contrasts with the previous view that Republicans were better for banks due to lighter regulation.
Loan Loss Reserves
- Loan loss reserves, at historic levels, will be a key indicator of bank and consumer health.
- Lower additional reserves signal optimism, higher ones may hint at economic concerns.
