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Weaponizing Uncertainty: How Tech is Recycling Big Tobacco’s Playbook

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Mar 20, 2025
Naomi Oreskes, a historian and author of "Merchants of Doubt," discusses how industries like tobacco and fossil fuels have weaponized uncertainty to protect their profits. She reveals the calculated tactics that create public confusion, such as astroturfing and framing issues as personal freedoms. Oreskes emphasizes the urgency of distinguishing real scientific skepticism from manufactured doubt, especially in the context of emerging technologies like AI. She advocates for adaptive governance and effective communication to combat disinformation and foster informed decision-making.
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ANECDOTE

Merchants of Doubt: Who They Were

  • The original Merchants of Doubt were Cold War physicists, not climate scientists.
  • They leveraged their influence to attack climate science and tobacco research.
INSIGHT

Ideological Motivation

  • These scientists weren't just skeptical; they were ideologically motivated.
  • They feared government regulation would lead to totalitarianism, echoing Cold War anxieties.
INSIGHT

Manufacturing Doubt

  • The Merchants of Doubt aimed to create uncertainty, not disprove scientific findings.
  • They exploited the inherent uncertainty in science to delay action.
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