Foreign Podicy

No Pain (for Putin), No Gain

May 23, 2025
Mark Montgomery, a retired Rear Admiral from the FDD and recent frontline observer in Ukraine, shares firsthand insights on the evolving military strategies in the conflict. He emphasizes the need for coordinated military support for Ukraine. John Hardie, co-author of an FDD Memo, discusses tactical sanctions that could pressure Russia diplomatically. Both guests explore the inadequacy of current peace negotiations and the significant resilience of the Russian economy while underscoring the importance of Western military aid in shifting battlefield dynamics.
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INSIGHT

Putin Ignores Trump's Diplomacy

  • Putin ignores President Trump's calls and doesn't negotiate seriously due to his battlefield advantage.
  • Trump's approach uses carrots for Moscow but sticks for Ukraine without compelling Russian compromise.
ADVICE

Sustain Support for Ukraine

  • Continue intelligence sharing and allow Europeans to buy arms for Ukraine to sustain defense.
  • Provide presidential drawdown authority for quick transfer of game-changing weapons to Ukraine.
ADVICE

Target Russian Oil Revenue

  • Impose targeted sanctions by lowering the G7 price cap on Russian oil to near production cost.
  • Sanction the shadow fleet and related insurance to enforce compliance, pressuring Russian revenue.
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