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Powell Warns: Don’t Count on Rate Cuts | Rise UP!

8 snips
Sep 26, 2025
Kevin Grimes, CEO of Grimes & Company, dives into pivotal market insights alongside Andy Schwartz, CEO of OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners. They break down Powell's caution against counting on rate cuts, explore a surprising surge in new home sales, and reveal the quirky 'Men's Underwear Index' as an economic barometer. The discussion also highlights new IRS rules for 401(k) catch-up contributions affecting high earners and strategies to manage tax impacts, ensuring you’re well-informed as you plan your financial future.
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INSIGHT

Fed Signaling Is Mixed And Markets React

  • The Fed shows a spectrum of opinions and isn't unified on more cuts this year.
  • Markets priced in cuts but Powell warned cuts are not guaranteed, raising uncertainty.
ADVICE

Stress Test Home Decisions For Rate Moves

  • Treat one monthly housing statistic as noisy and check regional detail before acting.
  • Stress test home affordability across different rate paths before buying or recommending a purchase.
INSIGHT

Boxes Signal Goods Shift, Not Full Economy

  • Unconventional indicators like box shipments can reveal shifts in goods demand.
  • But services now dominate US spending, so box data may reflect structural change, not just slowdown.
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