NatSec Matters The Trump-China Dilemma: Chris Johnson
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Dec 18, 2024 Chris Johnson, Founder and CEO of China Strategies Group, is a leading expert on U.S.-China relations. He discusses Beijing's vulnerabilities and the implications of a potential Trump presidency. Topics include the high-stakes rivalry between the U.S. and China, internal economic struggles in China, and Xi Jinping's consolidation of power. Johnson also highlights critical geopolitical flashpoints, such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, and reflects on missed diplomatic opportunities with Australia and Japan that could reshape future relations.
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China's Vulnerability
- China feels vulnerable as Trump returns, unlike his first term.
- Their economy is struggling, and they're unsure how to navigate Trump's unpredictability.
Mixed Signals in US-China Communication
- China struggles to connect with Trump through traditional channels, like former ambassador Cui Tiankai.
- Incoming Commerce Secretary Lutnik, however, claims ongoing dialogue, highlighting mixed signals.
China's Response to Tariffs
- China appears prepared for potential US tariffs under Trump, stockpiling retaliatory tools.
- However, they acknowledge vulnerability if the US goes 'full hammer and tongs'.