Kim Khan, Seeking Alpha Managing News Editor, discusses the significance of r-star and what investors can expect from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway and Michael Burry's 13F filings are also explored. The podcast covers topics such as real interest rates, Nvidia earnings preview, and Burry's bet against the stock market.
The upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium will provide insights into the Fed's thoughts about the economy post-COVID and potential changes in interest rates and inflation expectations.
NVIDIA's upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show a significant increase in data center sales driven by the growing demand for artificial intelligence.
Deep dives
Jackson Hole Symposium and the Importance of Real Interest Rates
The upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium is a significant event where major monetary players, including Fed officials like Powell, will discuss various economic aspects. One key focus will be on real interest rates, which have recently reached their highest level since 2009. Higher real yields can impact the stock market negatively, and the market often struggles to make substantial progress under such conditions. The discussions at the symposium will provide insights into the Fed's thoughts about the economy post-COVID and whether there might be a shift in the natural rate of interest (R-Star) that signifies a potential change in interest rates and inflation expectations.
Earnings and 13F Filings: NVIDIA Data Center Sales and Warren Buffett's Investments
The podcast episode also highlighted the upcoming earnings report of NVIDIA. Analysts are anticipating a significant increase in data center sales driven by the growing demand for artificial intelligence. Additionally, the episode discussed Warren Buffett's recent investments in home builders and possible reasons behind them. One reason could be the market's expectation of a future rate cut, which would lower mortgage rates and stimulate home buying. Another reason might be the existing demand for single-family homes, as homeowners are reluctant to sell due to the high cost of new mortgages. The episode also briefly mentioned Michael Burry's bearish bet on the overall stock market through put options on the S&P ETF and NASDAQ 100 ETF.
Catalyst watch for the week of August 20. Seeking Alpha Managing News Editor Kim Khan on the significance of r-star and what investors can expect from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. (00:22) Julie gives a brief earnings preview of Nvidia (NVDA). (04:28) Kim also shares insight behind 13F filings from Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) and Michael Burry. (05:48)
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