Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Larry Johnson: End of Negotiations & Launch of Oreshnik
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Jan 10, 2026 Larry Johnson, a former CIA analyst and counterterrorism expert, dives deep into the provocations surrounding the recent Oreshnik launch. He discusses the implications of U.S. involvement in a drone attack on Russia and how this has shaped Moscow's measured military responses. Johnson touches on the precarious balance of international law and U.S. actions that could undermine negotiations with Russia. He emphasizes the caution Russia is exercising to avoid escalation while navigating geopolitics, warning of the risks of wider conflict.
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Cautious Escalation As Strategic Signaling
- Russia practices 'cautious escalation' responding to strategic provocations while avoiding direct NATO strikes.
- Larry Johnson argues recent strikes targeted Ukraine's energy and nuclear-related infrastructure as calibrated warnings to NATO.
Tanker Seizure Intensifies Distrust
- The US seizure of a Russian-flagged tanker escalated tensions and was denounced by Russia as piracy.
- Johnson highlights the mixed crew and U.S. release of Russian sailors as evidence of chaotic, provocative U.S. actions.
Lawlessness Drives Russian Preparation
- Johnson says the US under Trump treats international law as optional, prompting Russia to prepare for war rather than negotiations.
- He insists Russia now concludes 'negotiations are a dead end' and must rely on force deterrence.
