Judging Freedom

Larry Johnson : 28-Point Plan Is Dead on Arrival.

Nov 24, 2025
Larry Johnson, a former intelligence analyst focused on national security and geopolitics, dissects the proposed 28-point peace plan, arguing it's rooted in Western interests. He outlines how unrealistic military figures fail to consider Ukraine's losses and highlights Russia's insistence on denazification and demilitarization. Johnson warns that the plan resembles previous failed strategies like Minsk II, suggesting it primarily buys time for Russia. He also discusses the challenges Ukraine faces amidst political pressures and diminished military aid effectiveness.
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INSIGHT

West Misreads Russia's Position

  • Western drafters assumed Russia was desperate and would accept major concessions.
  • Larry Johnson argues that assumption is false and drives a non-starter peace plan.
INSIGHT

Ukraine's Unsustainable Manpower Claims

  • The proposed Ukrainian standing army numbers are unrealistic given Ukraine's monthly personnel losses.
  • Johnson highlights Ukraine recruits ~17,000 but loses ~60,000 monthly, creating a severe manpower shortfall.
INSIGHT

Russia's Nonnegotiable Preconditions

  • Russia insists on denazification and demilitarization plus NATO rollback as non-negotiable fundamentals.
  • Johnson says those demands and incorporation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia, Kherson into Russia make compromise unlikely.
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