LessWrong (Curated & Popular)

“You will crash your car in front of my house within the next week” by Richard Korzekwa

Apr 2, 2025

A startling prediction unveils an impending wave of car crashes set to occur in front of a single house. Backed by data and compelling graphs, the discussion focuses on the alarming trajectory of accident frequency. As the countdown approaches a critical point, listeners ponder the implications of a potential 'crash singularity.' With humor and gravity, the analysis raises questions about vehicle resilience and the chaos that could unfold. Buckle up for a wild and thought-provoking ride!

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Quick takeaways

Recent trends indicate a dramatic rise in car crash frequency, suggesting an impending 'crash singularity' within a week.

The podcast raises critical concerns about vehicle limits and highlights the growing need for enhanced driver awareness and safety measures.

Deep dives

Predicted Surge in Car Crashes

Analysis of the recent trend in car accidents suggests that a significant rise in crashes is imminent in front of a specific location. Historical data indicates that only two accidents occurred over the span of several months, until a recent increase noted just weeks apart. This shift indicates a concerning acceleration in crash frequency, which is visually represented in graphs showcasing both actual and extrapolated data. These graphs highlight a predicted 'crash singularity' set to occur early on April 7th, implying that the rate of incidents will soon escalate dramatically.

A Disturbing Prediction of a Car Crash Surge

2min

I'm not writing this to alarm anyone, but it would be irresponsible not to report on something this important. On current trends, every car will be crashed in front of my house within the next week. Here's the data:

Until today, only two cars had crashed in front of my house, several months apart, during the 15 months I have lived here. But a few hours ago it happened again, mere weeks from the previous crash. This graph may look harmless enough, but now consider the frequency of crashes this implies over time:

The car crash singularity will occur in the early morning hours of Monday, April 7. As crash frequency approaches infinity, every car will be involved. You might be thinking that the same car could be involved in multiple crashes. This is true! But the same car can only withstand a finite number of crashes before it [...]

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First published:
April 1st, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FjPWbLdoP4PLDivYT/you-will-crash-your-car-in-front-of-my-house-within-the-next

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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