CNBC's "Fast Money" Stocks Close Out The First Half At Record Highs… And China’s Declining Data 6/30/25
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Jun 30, 2025 
Gil Loria, Head of Technology Research at D.A. Davidson, shares insights on Apple’s AI strategies and Oracle’s cloud growth. Lori Calvasina from RBC discusses market sentiment at record highs and investment strategies amidst geopolitical concerns. They analyze potential market corrections, the impact of China’s declining manufacturing data, and the competitive landscape in tech. With Home Depot's strategic moves and evolving investor attitudes toward AI, the conversation offers a comprehensive view of current market dynamics and future opportunities.
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Market Sentiment Nearing Fullness
- The market rebounded strongly after a growth scare bottom around April 8th, mimicking past rebound patterns but accelerating faster.
- Sentiment has shifted from very negative to fairly full, signaling a potentially stretched market from a sentiment perspective.
Watch Retail Sentiment Signals
- Monitor retail investor ETF and passive fund flows closely, as recent data shows a slowdown after a May surge.
- Watch the AAII survey as it historically signals 5-10% market drawdowns when sentiment spikes above a standard deviation.
Apple's AI Partnership Shift
- Apple is considering partnering with AI leaders Anthropic or OpenAI for Siri, marking a shift from building AI solely in-house.
- This approach allows Apple to harness advanced AI without heavy development costs, leveraging best models for consumer benefit.