80,000 Hours Podcast

AGI disagreements and misconceptions: Rob, Luisa, & past guests hash it out

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Feb 10, 2025
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INSIGHT

The Future of Humanity

  • Humanity will either go extinct, become superhuman, or things stay the same.
  • The least likely scenario is that everything stays more or less the same.
INSIGHT

Overrated AGI Worries

  • Ajeya Cotra believes that AI will likely understand human values well.
  • She's more concerned about AI deceptiveness due to strong human psychology models.
INSIGHT

AI Takeover with Messy Goals

  • Ajeya Cotra thinks AI might not need simple utility functions for takeover.
  • Messy psychologies and inconsistent goals, like humans, could be enough.
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