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ICIS - chemical podcasts

Episode 1268: Think Tank: Chemical company leaders will look beyond US election result

Nov 5, 2024
In this discussion with Paul Hodges, Chairman of New Normal Consulting, and Nigel Davis from the ICIS market development team, listeners dive into the future of the chemical industry amid political changes. They reveal that long-term trends like sustainability and global overcapacity will overshadow the US election results. The guests emphasize the need for chemical companies to adapt to evolving consumer demand for greener products and how trade policies could influence market dynamics, particularly concerning imports and investments in green technology.
23:36

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Chemical companies prioritize long-term market trends and consumer demands for sustainability over short-term political outcomes like the US election results.
  • The divergence in energy policies between candidates may affect the chemical industry's adaptation to evolving consumer preferences and sustainability commitments.

Deep dives

Impact of Trade Policies on the Chemical Industry

The outcome of the US elections will significantly affect trade policies impacting the chemical sector, especially regarding tariffs and international relations. A Trump administration is likely to escalate tariffs on imports, potentially increasing them by 10 to 20 percent, which raises concerns about trade wars, particularly with China and the EU. Conversely, a Harris administration may adopt a more targeted approach to tariffs, which could stabilize trade relationships. These varying approaches could either deter or encourage American chemical exports, particularly amidst the current global oversupply of commodity chemicals.

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