Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of CMT Association

Episode 59: Technical Analysis and Cryptocurrency with Javier Pineda, CMT

Jan 23, 2026
Javier Pineda, institutional portfolio manager and CMT charterholder who manages crypto strategies and wrote a book on crypto investing. He discusses applying technical analysis and on-chain metrics to crypto markets. Short takes cover Bitcoin cycles and halvings, challenges of aggregating decentralized volume data, how capital rotates from Bitcoin to Ethereum to altcoins, and why quantum computing is not an immediate threat to blockchain security.
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INSIGHT

Institutional Adoption Validated Crypto

  • Institutional adoption in 2020 signaled crypto was not a passing trend and merited serious allocation.
  • Javier says Wall Street investment convinced him crypto would remain relevant long-term.
ADVICE

Use A Multi‑Layer Selection Checklist

  • Combine macro, Bitcoin cycle stage, on-chain metrics, relative strength, and technical indicators before timing entries.
  • Use aggregated crypto-specific indicators like stablecoin dominance along with RSI and pair strength.
INSIGHT

Halving Influence Is Diminishing

  • Bitcoin follows a multi‑phase cycle tied to halvings, bull runs, and bear markets with diminishing halving impact.
  • Javier notes halvings mattered more in early cycles and are less dominant now.
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