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The Indicator from Planet Money

The game theory that led to nuclear standoffs

Jul 3, 2024
Author Kelly Clancy discusses the game theory behind nuclear standoffs, highlighting the current tensions between Russia and NATO. The podcast explores the impact of mathematical models on war decisions, the concept of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD), and the risks of miscalculations in nuclear strategies. It also touches on historical events like the Manhattan Project and President Reagan's arms negotiations with the Soviets.
09:26

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Game theory shapes nuclear policy decisions, overlooking psychological aspects.
  • Mutually assured destruction (MAD) aims to prevent nuclear conflict but faces credibility challenges.

Deep dives

The Roots of Rising Nuclear Tensions

Recent threats and escalations in nuclear capabilities from Belarus, Ukraine, and the US underscore a growing risk of nuclear war. The podcast delves into the role of game theory, particularly in nuclear standoffs, as a key driver of these escalating tensions. Game theory, exemplified by mathematician John von Neumann, provides a strategic framework devoid of psychological considerations, influencing crucial decisions in nuclear policy and military strategy.

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