Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart cover image

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Is The Fed Scared Of Something They're Not Telling Us About? | Michael Lebowitz & Adam Taggart

Dec 16, 2023
Michael Lebowitz, Lance Robert's portfolio co-manager, discusses the Federal Reserve's surprising guidance on interest rate cuts. He questions the reasons behind the swift change and speculates if the Fed is hiding a potential recession. Lebowitz and Adam Taggart also explore the future of inflation, interest rates, liquidity, and the outlook for bonds, stocks, and the markets. They conclude by sharing their firm's latest trade.
01:27:52

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Fed is adjusting its interest rate cuts and guidance due to potential liquidity problems in the markets.
  • Non-banks like pension funds and insurance companies are expected to increase buying in the bond market, supporting bond prices.

Deep dives

The importance of liquidity concerns and the impact on the market

The recent decrease in the reverse repo program and the ending of the Fed's BTFP program are causing a draw on liquidity in the markets. The Fed is likely trying to stay ahead of any potential liquidity problems by warning the market and making adjustments. However, the Fed's track record of finesse in managing liquidity is not great, which raises concerns. It's important for investors to plan and understand the potential implications of decreasing liquidity and changing interest rates.

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