The World of Intelligence
Using OSINT to understand an emerging situation in Haiti
Sep 12, 2023
Analysts discuss how open source intelligence can provide indicators and warnings for predictive intelligence. They analyze the deteriorating security situation in Haiti following the assassination of the former president. The importance of methodology and understanding data in intelligence analysis is emphasized. They explore the commercial sector's role in analyzing indicators and warnings and discuss the importance of audible and explainable indicators. The importance of foundational understanding and early intervention in Haiti is emphasized.
40:49
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Quick takeaways
- Open source intelligence plays a crucial role in understanding the complexity of the security situation in Haiti and enables decision-makers to assess risks and plan interventions.
- The development of country stability indicators provides a standardized and systematic approach to measuring a country's internal stability, which serves as a valuable tool for decision-makers in understanding and assessing a country's stability.
Deep dives
Overview of Haiti's Security Situation
Haiti has experienced a significant deterioration in its security environment, with approximately 200 gangs proliferating since the assassination of former President Jovannell Moise in July 2021. These gangs have taken advantage of the absence of an effective security force, resulting in a sharp increase in violent incidents, including homicides, kidnappings, and sexual assaults. The Haitian National Police, with limited personnel, struggles to maintain control as gangs vie for power and control over critical national infrastructure. The situation has prompted calls for international intervention by the United Nations, but no clear commitments have been made yet.
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