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The Insight by Oaktree Capital

The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters – March 2024 Edition

Mar 28, 2024
New co-CEOs of Oaktree, Robert O’Leary and Armen Panossian, share insights on today's investment environment including opportunistic credit, asset-backed finance, Chinese equity market. They discuss risks and opportunities in different asset classes and outlook for real estate and global convertibles in 2023 and 2024.
18:06

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Quick takeaways

  • Investor beliefs drive leveraged credit market rally amidst concerns of slow interest rate decline.
  • Rescue financings crucial for companies in leveraged credit markets facing refinancing risks and balance sheet challenges.

Deep dives

Market Outlook and Trends in Leveraged Credit Markets

The leveraged credit markets have experienced a significant rally in the past six months, with high-yield bond spreads reaching their lowest levels in almost two years. This strong market trend has been driven by investor beliefs in a potential soft landing of the U.S. economy leading to lower interest rates. However, there are concerns that interest rates may not decline as rapidly as anticipated unless faced with a severe recession, which could pose challenges for leveraged companies refinancing their debt.

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