Private equity is gearing up for an exciting 2025 with a significant boost in deal value. A record US$565 billion in transactions was announced in 2024, indicating a 25% increase. Confidence is soaring, with 73% of general partners anticipating more activity. Key factors include narrowing valuation gaps and improved macro visibility. IPOs are expected to surge, especially among strong market players. However, supply chain concerns remain a top priority for GPs as they navigate potential tariffs and geopolitical stability.
Private equity firms are entering 2025 with $1.4 trillion in dry powder and heightened expectations for increased deployment activity in upcoming months.
GPs are proactively addressing supply chain vulnerabilities while anticipating a significant rise in IPOs among strong market candidates this year.
Deep dives
Current Deal Environment and Growth Projections
The current deal environment in the private equity market shows strong momentum, mirroring trends from the previous year but on a larger scale. Public equity markets are thriving, interest rates are decreasing, and credit spreads are narrowing, which fosters a competitive atmosphere among lenders. Last year, global private equity acquisition activity increased significantly, with a marked improvement in both the number and value of deals. A recent survey indicates that approximately 75% of general partners anticipate a continued rise in activity over the next six months, bolstered by a robust $4 trillion in assets held by private equity firms.
Market Themes and Future Outlook
Following recent elections, there is renewed optimism in the market as concerns over political uncertainty have diminished, positively impacting M&A activities. Many private equity firms are proactively addressing supply chain vulnerabilities and evaluating their manufacturing footprints to better navigate potential trade rebalancing. Expectations for deal activity are high, with general partners identifying a narrowing valuation gap and an increase in available assets from private equity as key contributors. Additionally, many are looking to leverage artificial intelligence to enhance portfolio performance and operational efficiency, while anticipating a rise in IPOs among viable candidates in the near future.
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Momentum in the Private Equity Market: Trends and Predictions for 2025
Private equity enters 2025 with strong expectations amid favorable market conditions. In 2024, PE firms announced US$565b in deals, a 25% increase in value and 20% in volume from the previous year. Confidence is high, with 73% of GPs expecting increased deployment activity. Factors driving this optimism include narrowing valuation gaps, increased asset availability, and improved macro visibility. Exit activity is also expected to rise, driven by secondary buyouts. Additionally, GPs anticipate a surge in IPOs and a continued focus on AI and private markets buildout.