The Jacob Shapiro Podcast #253 - Lose the War, Win the Peace
Feb 3, 2025
Jacek Bartosiak, founder of Strategy&Future and a distinguished geopolitical analyst from Poland, brings his sharp insights to the discussion. He argues that a systemic global war is already unfolding, emphasizing the implications for the U.S. if it falls into hubris. The conversation covers the precarious state of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, evolving EU dynamics post-Brexit, and the shifting influences of China and Russia. Bartosiak also warns of the need for Europe to reclaim agency and prioritizes peace over war in shaping future global stability.
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
Russia's Strategic Advantage
- Russia is strategically winning the war in Ukraine, despite battlefield stalemates.
- They've shaped the conflict into domains where they have advantages, like manpower and resources.
Ukraine's Plan to Win the Peace
- Ukraine aims to "win the peace" even if they lose territory, by focusing on economic development and military modernization.
- They will likely partner with Poland for security, creating a new political elite.
Negotiation Hurdles
- Russia won't negotiate if they're winning and Ukraine plans to become a heavily armed Western ally.
- Ukraine must hold the front lines, but has fewer resources than Russia.