The KE Report

Craig Hemke - Silver’s Breakout, Silver Miner Margins, & the Hard-Asset Supercycle

Dec 1, 2025
Craig Hemke, the founder of TF Metals Report, dives into the explosive rise of silver, which is surging towards $60/oz. He explains that this move differs fundamentally from past spikes, suggesting it's a precursor to significant market changes expected in 2026. The discussion highlights the stark valuation disconnect in silver mining shares, signaling an imminent catch-up. Additionally, Hemke connects the weakening US dollar and growing Treasury deficits to a broader hard-asset supercycle, with gold, silver, and copper all hitting major monthly highs.
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INSIGHT

Silver's Move Is A Sustained Breakout

  • Silver's current rally is a sustained breakout, not a fleeting spike like 1980 or 2011.
  • Craig Hemke views this as front-running major bullish developments expected in 2026.
INSIGHT

Gold's Recent Breakout Is Silver's Template

  • The silver analog is gold's late‑2023 to March‑2024 breakout pattern that doubled in 18 months.
  • Hemke suggests silver could follow suit and potentially double if it mimics gold's trajectory.
INSIGHT

Miners Are Lagging The Metal Rally

  • Miner shares lag metal prices despite much higher realized prices in Q4 versus Q3.
  • Hemke expects a catch‑up trade in GDX and SIL once traders price in Q4 margin expansion.
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