Bobby Molavi discusses big tech, global elections, and consumer health. They explore economic data's impact on market sentiment, potential rate cuts, July S&P performance, seasonality, AI momentum, elections, and growth concerns.
Market volatility from elections impacting risk appetites
Deep dives
Market Outlook and Rate Cutting Possibility
There is a debate whether good news is bad or bad news is good regarding the slowing economy, concerning the US and global regions like China. The view is leaning towards rate cutting before year-end due to the weakening economy. The market is currently absorbing softening data without major disruptions, but there's vigilance for signs like unemployment acceleration that might cause nervousness.
Focus on Elections and Consumer Health
The market volatility due to elections, especially in Europe, has stirred changes in investors' risk appetites. Elections in the UK and France are being monitored for potential impacts on sectors and individual companies based on possible policy shifts. There's a significant market focus on the slowdown in growth, weakening consumer trends, and its effects on cyclical market segments, such as luxury brands.
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Analysis of Economic Data, Rate Cutting, and Market Performance
What is top of mind for investors as we enter the second half of 2024? Bobby Molavi, head of EMEA execution services in Global Banking & Markets, discusses big tech, global elections, and the health of the consumer.